lunes, 3 de agosto de 2026

Autonomous Intelligent Systems and (Un)Common Sense - 2026

 

Introduction

The aspiration to build machines capable of exhibiting intelligent behavior has accompanied the history of computing since its earliest days. During the 1960s, when I began working with computers, the notion of creating an electronic brain—what we would now describe as an Autonomous Intelligent System (AIS)—appeared more as a long-term vision than an achievable engineering objective.

Over the following decades, advances in computer science, control theory, artificial intelligence, robotics, machine learning, and most recently foundation models and generative AI have transformed that vision into practical reality. As a software engineer who has spent many years developing systems that today could be classified as intelligent, I take pride in having contributed, in a modest way, to this technological evolution.

An Autonomous Intelligent System continuously:

  1. acquires information from its environment,
  2. processes that information,
  3. reasons about possible actions,
  4. modifies its internal state, and
  5. executes actions intended to achieve one or more objectives.

Each of these stages raises important scientific and engineering questions, including:

  • the quality, reliability, and credibility of the information being processed;
  • the representation of knowledge and uncertainty;
  • decision making under incomplete information;
  • learning and adaptation;
  • explainability and transparency;
  • safety and robustness;
  • ethical and legal considerations.

Despite remarkable progress in artificial intelligence, two fundamental research problems remain largely unsolved:

  1. transferring skills and knowledge efficiently between different tasks and domains, and
  2. modelling common sense.

This document focuses exclusively on the second problem: the importance of incorporating common-sense reasoning into Autonomous Intelligent Systems.


Fundamental Concepts

To establish a common terminology, consider that an Autonomous Intelligent System receives information from two broad categories of sensors.

Internal information describes the current state of the system itself. It originates from internal components and their interactions and is commonly associated with feedback, self-monitoring, diagnostics, or proprioception.

External information describes the system's relationship with its environment, including other systems, physical objects, human users, and external events. This information enables perception of the surrounding world.

Both categories are acquired through sensors, whether physical (e.g., cameras, LiDAR, microphones, temperature sensors) or virtual (e.g., software logs, databases, network traffic, APIs).


Data Characteristics

Big Data is traditionally characterized by three fundamental properties (Laney, 2001):

  1. Volume – the quantity of data generated.
  2. Velocity – the speed at which data are produced and processed.
  3. Variety – the diversity of data formats, sources, and modalities.

Later research expanded this framework by introducing additional characteristics, among which Veracity has become particularly relevant for artificial intelligence.

Many practical challenges associated with Volume, Velocity, and Variety can be addressed using established engineering techniques such as:

  • selective sensing;
  • intelligent sampling;
  • data compression;
  • feature extraction;
  • dimensionality reduction;
  • filtering and denoising;
  • distributed processing.

However, these techniques alone cannot guarantee that the information being processed accurately represents reality.


The Fourth V: Data Veracity

Among the extended Big Data characteristics, Veracity refers to the trustworthiness, quality, consistency, and reliability of data.

For intelligent systems, poor-quality information inevitably degrades decision quality. This observation follows directly from the well-known principle of Garbage In, Garbage Out (GIGO).

Consequently, an AIS should not only process incoming information but also continuously estimate its reliability.

Signal Processing provides a useful analogy. The Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) measures how much useful information exists relative to unwanted disturbances. A high SNR generally improves the probability of accurate inference.

However, unlike classical communication systems, an intelligent agent cannot simply discard all apparent noise.

Unexpected or anomalous observations may correspond to:

  • equipment failures,
  • cyberattacks,
  • environmental changes,
  • sensor degradation,
  • previously unknown situations.

Consequently, modern AI systems increasingly incorporate:

  • anomaly detection,
  • uncertainty estimation,
  • probabilistic reasoning,
  • Bayesian inference,
  • confidence calibration,
  • continual monitoring.

These mechanisms enable the system not only to identify expected situations but also to recognize when its own knowledge may be insufficient.


Common Sense and Natural Language

Common sense has frequently been studied through the lens of natural language understanding because human knowledge is largely expressed linguistically.

Natural language reflects centuries of social evolution, shared experiences, cultural conventions, and implicit assumptions. Consequently, much common-sense knowledge is embedded within language itself.

Large Language Models have demonstrated impressive capabilities in capturing statistical regularities of language, and benchmark datasets such as CommonsenseQA, HellaSwag, PIQA, and Winograd have shown significant improvements over previous AI systems.

Nevertheless, recent research consistently shows that language modelling alone does not constitute genuine common-sense reasoning. Current models often fail when confronted with:

  • novel situations,
  • causal reasoning,
  • physical reasoning,
  • temporal consistency,
  • long-term planning,
  • counterfactual reasoning.

Moreover, restricting common sense exclusively to natural language unnecessarily narrows the problem.

Many Autonomous Intelligent Systems—industrial robots, autonomous vehicles, spacecraft, manufacturing systems, and sensor networks—interact successfully without using human language.

Communication among such systems relies on structured data, control signals, and shared protocols rather than linguistic expressions. Are these "other" common sense?

Therefore, a more fundamental question emerges:

Can an intelligent system exhibit common sense independently of natural language?

In other words: Is common sense fundamentally a linguistic phenomenon, or is it a broader capability involving perception, reasoning, prediction, adaptation, and decision making under uncertainty?

In my opinion, this question remains one of the central open problems in artificial intelligence research, and it extends beyond the scope of this document.


References

Classical AI

Autonomous Intelligent Systems

Big Data

Common Sense

Foundation Models

Large Language Models

AI Safety

sábado, 1 de agosto de 2026

A Personal Reflection on Logistics, Quantum Computing, and Generative AI



In my view, Logistics is both an art and a science. It encompasses the technologies, methodologies, and decision-making processes that ensure the resources required to execute a process, event, or action are available at the right place, at the right time, and in the right quantity, while minimizing cost, time, and effort and maximizing efficiency, effectiveness, and resilience.

Today, the convergence of Quantum Computing and Generative Artificial Intelligence—including machine learning, deep learning, foundation models, and autonomous AI agents—offers an unprecedented opportunity to build and evaluate complex models that simulate dynamic systems with increasing accuracy while reducing computational cost, resource consumption, and development time.

Many of the world's most challenging problems involve complex adaptive systems operating far from equilibrium. Understanding their behavior requires the integration of multiple disciplines, including:

  • Quantum Computing

  • Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

  • Game Theory

  • Control Theory

  • System Identification

  • Operations Research

  • Optimization

  • Complex Systems Science

  • Network Science

  • Statistical Physics

Together, these disciplines provide complementary perspectives for modeling, analyzing, and optimizing systems whose behavior evolves continuously over time.

Potential applications include:

  • Improved forecasting of earthquakes, including probability, location, magnitude, and timing.

  • Modeling and forecasting price movements in financial markets.

  • Optimizing urban traffic flow to reduce congestion and mitigate bottlenecks.

  • Training recommendation systems with significantly fewer computational resources.

  • Modeling armed conflicts to identify strategies that promote stable and sustainable peace.

  • Optimizing the distribution of food, medicine, and emergency resources following natural disasters.

  • Forecasting catastrophic scenarios associated with climate change to improve preparedness and resilience.

  • Discovering hidden patterns in highly stochastic systems, including applications traditionally considered unpredictable.

At first glance, these challenges appear unrelated. However, they may share deeper mathematical structures.

This raises an intriguing research question:

Can models developed for one complex dynamic system be adapted, generalized, or transferred to another?

If seemingly different phenomena obey similar underlying principles, advances in one domain could accelerate discoveries in many others. Identifying these common structures could become one of the most exciting interdisciplinary research directions of the coming decades.

This idea motivates my current research interests, and I would be delighted to exchange ideas with researchers, engineers, scientists, and anyone passionate about complex systems.

If these topics resonate with you, I'd love to hear your thoughts. Please leave a comment or send me a message. Collaborative research often begins with a simple conversation.